Assessment of PMIP3 model simulations of megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium | |
Qin, Yanmin1,2,3,7; Ning, Liang1,2,3,4,5,6,7; Chen, Kefan1,2,3,7; Liu, Jian1,2,3,4,7; Yan, Mi1,2,3,4,7 | |
通讯作者 | Ning, Liang(ningliangnnu@126.com) |
2020-02-22 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY |
ISSN | 0899-8418 |
页码 | 20 |
摘要 | The simulated spatiotemporal characteristics and variability of decadal megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium of 7 model simulations from the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (PMIP3) archive were assessed, and the corresponding mechanisms of the megadroughts were also investigated. The simulated megadrought features of frequencies, durations, magnitudes and spatial distributions were compared with reconstructed data. Comparison showed that climate models can reasonably reproduce the major features of megadroughts, however, the simulated megadroughts are not temporal synchronous with the reconstructed megadroughts, indicating that the internal variability rather than external forcing initiates the observed megadroughts. The simulated spatial distributions of wind and sea level pressure (SLP) anomalies during megadrought years showed that megadroughts over the eastern China corresponded to weakening of the East Asia Summer Monsoon (EASM) and strengthening of the East Asia Winter Monsoon (EAWM). A pattern of sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) with significant negative SSTA over the western central North Pacific and significant positive SSTA over eastern North Pacific and equatorial Pacific, resembling a positive PDO-like pattern, was found to suppress precipitation in eastern China. Therefore, it could be concluded that that internal climate variability is the main trigger of the megadroughts over the eastern China, while the North Pacific decadal variability is considered the key driving factor influencing the EASM and EAWM. |
关键词 | climate dynamics climate modelling east Asia climate change and climate variability east Asian summer monsoon eastern China megadrought models assessment |
DOI | 10.1002/joc.6513 |
关键词[WOS] | NORTH-AMERICA ; PERSISTENT DROUGHTS ; SUMMER MONSOON ; CLIMATE MODELS ; PRECIPITATION ; PACIFIC ; VARIABILITY ; PATTERNS ; RAINFALL ; EVENTS |
收录类别 | SCI ; SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
资助项目 | Open Funds of State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment[KLLQG1820] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0600401] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41420104002] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41631175] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41671197] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971021] |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
项目资助者 | Open Funds of State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000514939800001 |
出版者 | WILEY |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.ieecas.cn/handle/361006/12749 |
专题 | 现代环境研究室 |
通讯作者 | Ning, Liang |
作者单位 | 1.Nanjing Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Virtual Geog Environm, Nanjing, Peoples R China 2.Nanjing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Cultivat Base Geog Environm Evolut, Nanjing, Peoples R China 3.Nanjing Normal Univ, Sch Geog, Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Reso, Nanjing, Peoples R China 4.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Open Studio Simulat Ocean Climate Isotope, Qingdao, Peoples R China 5.Univ Massachusetts, Climate Syst Res Ctr, Dept Geosci, Amherst, MA 01003 USA 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Earth Environm, State Key Lab Loess & Quaternary Geol, Xian, Peoples R China 7.1 Wenyuan Rd, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Qin, Yanmin,Ning, Liang,Chen, Kefan,et al. Assessment of PMIP3 model simulations of megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2020:20. |
APA | Qin, Yanmin,Ning, Liang,Chen, Kefan,Liu, Jian,&Yan, Mi.(2020).Assessment of PMIP3 model simulations of megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,20. |
MLA | Qin, Yanmin,et al."Assessment of PMIP3 model simulations of megadroughts over the eastern China during the last millennium".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2020):20. |
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